taylor project, bob franken and boris epstein, republican strategist who worked on john mccain's presidential campaign. good to see all of you. >> hello. >> how are you, craig? >> goldie, we'll start with you. ladies first. nate silva, of course, of the "new york times," he is picking "argo" writing in "the times" and "zero dark thirty" may have won slightly more critical acclaim but the critics do not vote for the oscars and the insiders have, and there's been absolute consensus among insiders. it would an enormous upset if it were to lose. i know you're not an insider, but if you had to pick which politically themed movie out of these three, "lincoln," "argo" and "zero dark thirty," which of these three do you pick? >> i almost always go with nate silva. difficult to go against 538 in any situation but this time i go with "lincoln." >> really, daniel day-lewis did a masterful job. >> how about you, boris? what do you think? >> i've been getting crushed by nate for a long time dating back to the election. also republicans have been having a tough time going against him, but i'